李显龙称此次访华“收获颇丰”(李显龙访谈)

内容来源：友软网络更新时间：2023-06-02 15:27:30

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国能够吸引来自世界各地的人才。他们才华横溢，充满活力。有时候，美国似乎在朝着不可挽回的错误方向前进，但是，之后，美国有能够重塑自我并重新振作起来。\u003cstrong>另一方面，我不知道美国人是否意识到，如果他们认定与中国为敌，中国可能会是多么可怕的敌人。\u003c/strong>”\u003c/p>\u003cp>“中国不会消失（disappear）。这不是苏联，也不是矫饰的门面（thePotemkinvillagefront）。\u003cstrong>这是一个充满活力和力量，拥有人才并决心在世界上占据一席之地的国家。”\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\u003cp>李显龙声称，“虽然这样的看法，毫无疑问，一部分因为中国人所说的娴熟的‘群众路线’的鼓动以及被灌输的世界观，但是，很大一部分也是来源于民众深深的自豪和自信。也许他们接受的‘受害者叙事’比别人会多一些，但是，他们真诚地相信他们被践踏过。他们记住他们的过去，并决心继续前行，告诉别人，‘我们不会消失’。”\u003c/p>\u003cp>所以在这种情况下，李显龙对中美说，“暂停，在你们快进之前应当仔细思虑一下。这非常危险。”\u003c/p>\u003cpclass=\"textAlignCenter\">\u003cstrong>李显龙：中美必须在多领域共同努力\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\u003cp>李显龙称，美国气候问题特使约翰克里不久前才访问中国。\u003cstrong>气候变化是一个非常重大的问题，需要中美双方的全力投入，任何一方都不能独自解决。\u003c/strong>尽管如此，美国也可以先去尽力说服国会。\u003c/p>\u003cp>此外还有其他需要合作的领域。如果我们想解决朝核问题，那就无法绕过中国。数字经济也是如此，把所有的电子产品供应链放在美国是不现实的。在这样一个全球化的产业链中，中国已经如此深度参与，以至于假如把中国排除在外，美国都无法购买一架大疆无人机来监测森林火灾。\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003cstrong>中国也是如此，把自己与世界孤立开来毫无意义。\u003c/strong>中国人已经知道，无论他们的国家多么伟大、辽阔和多样化，他们也不是整个世界。还有其他国家、其他技术、其他资源、其他工艺。\u003cstrong>为了取得进步，中美必须共同努力。\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\u003cpclass=\"textAlignCenter\">\u003cstrong>李显龙：希望美方转变对华的强硬路线\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\u003cp>“今天，美国两党在一件事情上达成了共识，那就是与中国的关系，但美国的立场是采取强硬路线。我不确定这是否是正确的共识，但这就是现状，也许它会转变。\u003cstrong>我们希望美方能够在深思熟虑后作出改变。\u003c/strong>”\u003c/p>\u003cpclass=\"textAlignCenter\">\u003cstrong>李显龙：中国大陆不会单方面对台湾采取行动\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\u003cp>就台海问题，李显龙认为，“\u003cstrong>中国大陆不会单方面对台湾采取行动。但他同时警告局势非常容易因为“误判”而变得危险\u003c/strong>——或许你并不处于危险的位置，但是你可以很容易地进入一个危险的位置。”\u003c/p>\u003cp>“\u003cstrong>对于大陆民众而言，台湾问题是‘一切核心利益的母题’，是最重要的国家课题，而‘台独’是绝对醒目的‘红线’。\u003c/strong>习主席已经把台湾统一作为他伟大复兴愿景的一部分，但并不只是习主席有这个愿景。这实际上是全中国的知识分子、武装力量、乃至人民的共识。邓小平开了“一国两制”的先河，在香港实施，做出一个行之有效的模式，并希望这个模式能够适用于台湾。”\u003c/p>\u003cp>李显龙声称，“但即使在香港最近的事态发生之前，我也不认为这项计划起步了，我认为很少有台湾人支持这样的想法。维持‘九二共识’是两岸维持关系与展开合作的可行方法。其中一个含糊其辞的说法就是，只有一个中国。实际上，每个‘中国’都有自己的解释。”\u003c/p>\u003cp>“在此基础上，大陆能够与台湾的几个国民党政府合作。但现在，蔡英文认为九二共识是不可接受的。同时，现在很难找到另一种可替代的形式。\u003cstrong>所以中国正处在一个相当艰难的时期，台湾民众的态度正在转变。\u003c/strong>三分之二的台湾人现在认为自己只是台湾人，并希望维持现状。”\u003c/p>\u003cp>李显龙声称，“\u003cstrong>大陆正在仔细观察，想知道他们能做什么。如果他们施压，台湾人就会反对他们。如果他们放松，将产生台湾拥有更多国际空间的担忧。\u003c/strong>我认为他们会尽可能限制台湾的国际空间，但我不认为他们会单方面无端采取行动。这是高风险的。即使成功了，也虽胜亦败。如何处理这个岛上2000万不愿意成为公民的人们？我认为单方面无缘无故的举动是不可能的，但是但误判或失误很容易把你带到一个你不想去的处境。你们中的一些人可能还记得2001年发生的一起EP-3事故，当时一架(美国)EP-3飞机在中国海岸附近与一架中国战斗机发生碰撞。中国战斗机坠毁，飞行员死亡。EP-3不得不在海南岛紧急着陆。美国花了数周时间准备道歉，以召回飞机和机组人员。我认为如果今天发生了这样的事情，美国将会处于相当困难的境地。我不确定会得到类似的良性结果。”\u003c/p>\u003cp>“\u003cstrong>美国的立场至关重要。\u003c/strong>过去几年里，美国显而易见地增加了与台湾的互动，包括军机到访、外交邀请和访问等等，这都会被两岸仔细观察。本届政府采取的官方立场是非常谨慎的。劳埃德·奥斯汀最近在新加坡。有人问他这个问题。他的回答非常重要，尽管没有多少人采信。”\u003c/p>\u003cp>“奥斯汀说了两件事。第一，‘\u003cstrong>没有人希望看到台湾现状发生单边变化\u003c/strong>。’这意味着任何人都不应该单方面做出改变。第二，‘\u003cstrong>美国承诺根据《台湾关系法》和美国的一个中国政策，支持台湾及其自卫能力。\u003c/strong>’换句话说，美国正在采取的这种立场已经在几届政府中得到体现。这是一个谨慎的声明。这是对双方的声明，单方面改变现状的行为是不受欢迎的，美国正在做的是仔细阐明行为的边界。”\u003c/p>\u003cp>他声称，“\u003cstrong>如果能够明确并一以贯之地维护这个谨慎立场，台海两岸的和平与稳定就能维持。\u003c/strong>这对整个区域至关重要，我认为对你们（美国）和中国的整体关系可能也很重要，但不是明天就会产生的冲突。这是一个中期的问题。”\u003c/p>\u003cpclass=\"textAlignCenter\">\u003cstrong>李显龙：疫情之下，世界更需要经济全球化\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\u003cp>李显龙表示，“全球化发展的倒退态势在新冠疫情发生之前已经出现了，但是新冠疫情的出现可能加重了此态势。全球化的经济逻辑依旧奏效。\u003cstrong>事实上，我们比以往任何时候都更需要经济全球化。\u003c/strong>因为如果想要获取更高的科技，像是半导体或航空器等，此时我们所谈论的是更大规模的经济。为了实现更大规模的经济发展，我们需要全球市场、全球范围内劳动力和人才的分工。就好像，要实现美国人、中国人和俄罗斯人驾驶各国自产的飞机是一件很难实现的事情。即使美国或者中国，都没有足够强大到可以实现这一点。”\u003c/p>\u003cp>“新冠肺炎疫情对投资、实体投资以及在证券交易所上市的金融投资方面影响是非常显著的。我们现在面临一种较为奇怪的现象，即美国不希望中国公司在美上市，中国也是如此，不希望中国公司在美国纽约上市。\u003cstrong>这意味着双方属于一种两败俱伤的局面，双方均认为这对他们不利，但是确是事实\u003c/strong>。”\u003c/p>\u003cp>“当所有亚洲国家和许多欧洲国家将中国作为他们最大的贸易伙伴，并把美国作为自己非常重要的朋友甚至是盟友的时候，\u003cstrong>这种分化政策意味着必须将许多社会从中间撕裂，这非常困难\u003c/strong>。”\u003c/p>","type":"text"}],"currentPage":0,"pageSize":1},"editorName":"宋东泽","editorCode":"PN242","subscribe":{"type":"vampire","cateSource":"","isShowSign":0,"parentid":"0","parentname":"国际","cateid":"1504529","catename":"凤凰大参考","logo":"//d.ifengimg.com/w60_h60_q90/ugc-img.ifengimg.com/img/2022/4/24/ca892189-e805-430d-9228-1c3a2d43962c_w197_h197.png","description":"凤凰网国际原创深度栏目","api":"http://api.3g.ifeng.com/api_wemedia_list?cid=1504529","show_link":1,"share_url":"https://share.iclient.ifeng.com/share_zmt_home?tag=home&cid=1504529","eAccountId":1504529,"status":1,"honorName":"","honorImg":"http://x0.ifengimg.com/cmpp/2020/0907/1a8b50ea7b17cb0size3_w42_h42.png","honorImg_night":"http://x0.ifengimg.com/cmpp/2020/0907/b803b8509474e6asize3_w42_h42.png","forbidFollow":0,"forbidJump":0,"fhtId":"4000000046816610623","view":1,"sourceFrom":"","declare":"","originalName":"","redirectTab":"article","authorUrl":"https://ishare.ifeng.com/mediaShare/home/1504529/media","newsTime":"2021-08-0423:01:33","lastArticleAddress":"来自北京市"}},"hasCopyRight":true,"sourceReason":"","comment":{"noAd":false,"skey":"09cd02","commentUrl":"ucms_88RSY4i2EEW","pcUrl":"https://news.ifeng.com/c/88RSY4i2EEW"},"keywords":"美国,民众,立场,共识,国际秩序,疫情","safeLevel":0,"isCloseAlgRec":false,"interact":{"isCloseShare":false,"isCloseLike":false,"isOpenCandle":false,"isOpenpray":false}};varadKeys=["topAd","infoAd0","infoAd1","infoAd2","bannerAd","articleAd","recommendAd","articleBottomAd","recommendSearchAd","fullScreenAd"];var__apiReport=(Math.random()>0.99);var__apiReportMaxCount=50;for(vari=0,len=adKeys.length;i资讯频道李显龙最新讲话这样提到中国凤凰大参考2021-08-0423:01来自北京市编者按：2021年8月3日，新加坡总理李显龙以视频方式在阿斯彭安全论坛发表演讲，他表示，美国和中国必须努力与对方接触，避免一场对双方乃至世界都将是灾难性的冲突。演讲结束后，李显龙与部分嘉宾针对中美关系、台海等话题进行讨论。我们全文呈现李显龙的开场演讲，并节选随后的问答内容，以飨读者。以下是李显龙开场演讲实录。我们都希望这场大流行病会促使各国更紧密地合作，就像在9-11之后，当时有一段团结和相互支持打击极端主义恐怖主义的时期。但不幸的是，对于COVID-19，情况却大不相同。是的，有一些合作，例如疫苗多边主义或COVAX倡议。国际贸易也得到了维持。但更广泛地说，COVID-19并没有让各国更紧密地联系在一起。事实上往往恰恰相反。口罩和个人防护装备等关键物资以及后来的疫苗出现了争夺战。在国际上，这场流行病引发了相互指责——病毒从何而来，谁应该受到谴责等等。在国内，许多国家的民众越来越感到焦虑和不安全感，这助长了本土主义情绪。过去一年的一项重大国际发展是美国政府的更迭。美国已回归更传统的外交政策方式，重新强调多边主义，并重新关注其全球盟友和合作伙伴网络。不仅在亚太地区，而且在世界各地，都有一种明显的解脱感。各国正在寻求美国的长期战略一致性。他们希望不仅在现在或未来2到3年内维持这一政策，而且希望在中期和下届总统选举之后长期维持这一政策。他们希望有一个可靠和可预测的美国，这将为国际秩序提供一个稳定的锚，正如它几十年来所做的那样。中美双边关系一直保持着连续性。在过去的几年里，这些变得更加困难。在美国，人们对中国的态度发生了深刻转变，这种转变是两党合作的结果，而且不仅仅局限于政府和国会，还蔓延到了民众中。同样的力量束缚和塑造了现任美国政府对华政策，这也是上届政府带来的。在中国，人们的态度也变得更加自信和强硬。中国的战略和经济影响力有所增强，中国采取了更为积极的国际姿态，试图为自己的利益重塑国际秩序。我认为很难扭转目前关系更加紧张的趋势。但许多国家仍然希望中美关系的恶化能够得到遏制。因为许多美国的朋友和盟友希望保持与这两个大国的广泛关系，冲突不会产生好的结果。美国和中国必须努力与对方接触，避免一场对双方乃至世界都将是灾难性的冲突。同时，我们高兴地看到，美国正在积极地对亚太地区各国进行高层访问。美国国务卿布林肯和国防部长奥斯汀访问了日本和韩国。国务卿奥斯汀最近也访问了新加坡、越南和菲律宾。美国副总统哈里斯将在两周后访问新加坡和越南。这样的高级别访问是非常有价值的。它们表明，美国正在该地区投入资源，并表明美国在该地区拥有可观的利益，并需要保护和推进。美国参与亚太地区事务，不仅是为了确保地区安全和力量平衡，也是为了促进这些利益，推动贸易和投资，并发展广泛的跨太平洋关系。美国目前的政策不是鼓励贸易，但美国与该地区合作有许多新机遇，例如在数字贸易和绿色增长方面。因此，我希望美国将继续追求这些目标，并继续在促进建立一个包容的、基于规则的国际秩序方面发挥重要作用。演讲结束后，李显龙接受嘉宾提问。李显龙：中美双方恢复互信和合作需要两国的政治家风度、勇气以及政治领导力就中美关系短期内的发展态势，李显龙称，“这不是一个明天就会爆发在美国身上的紧迫问题，但它是一个有着非常严重后果的问题。这基本上取决于美国如何看待中国，以及中国如何看待美国。在很长一段时间里，美国把中国视为合作对象。中美有许多分歧和争议，但存在一定的缓冲余地。美国希望中国成为负责任的利益相关者。”“中国很高兴处于这种侧翼（flankingposition）的位置，他们过去没有能力挑战美国，但现在中国已迅速崛起。中国的雄心壮志与其影响该区域和世界事件的能力一起增长，尤其是在亚洲地区。”从美国的角度来看，其看到的是一个竞争对手——既挑战其意识形态，也挑战其地位。很长一段时间以来，美国人都相当自信，认为将有自由竞争，让最优秀的人获胜。他们起初认为美国一定能赢，但最后开始犹豫了，所以美国说，美国必须赢。美国仍然相信竞争的作用，但前提是公平竞争。“把竞争者当作对手(opponent)还是敌人(adversary)有一条非常微妙的界限。美国总统拜登说，将会有极端竞争，但他不需要冲突。所有人都希望这条界限已经清晰划分，但是要维持这条界限并不容易，因为我认为在美国内部，两党有一个强烈的共识，那就是旧的模式已经被打破，美国需要采取一个更强有力的方法。而这个方法在相当大的程度上，至少会导致技术、人才获取，甚至是资本市场的分化。”“另一方面，言辞说明了一切正确的事情，即存在一个多边世界，不存在单一的智慧或力量中心。我们都必须共同努力，而且双赢要比双输好得多，所有这些都是事实。但与此同时，中国人看着美国说，这个国家会支持我的崛起吗，还是这个国家至少希望阻止我的崛起？”“两国对彼此都有强烈的情绪。在美国，对中国强硬不仅是两党共识，也蔓延到民众之中。在中国，中国人的民族主义高涨，甚至高层中也有人认为美国试图遏制中国。因此，在这种动态中，试图恢复信任和彼此合作——我认为这需要两国的政治家风度、勇气以及政治领导力。”李显龙：美国需要意识到中国是一个多么可怕的对手就中美僵局而言，李显龙声称，“中美之间存在很多问题和争议，甚至双方都会有很多合理的不满情绪。但现实是，任何一方都不能放弃另一方。我认为双方可能存在误解。因为在中国，人们说东方正在崛起，西方正在衰落。有些人相信并写道，美国正处于衰落的末期。我不这么认为。我告诉他们，你们看看所有的华裔诺贝尔科学和医学奖得主，除了一个人是中国公民，剩下的要么是美国公民，要么变成了美国公民。”“这里就说明一个道理。美国有能力吸引来自世界各地的人，美国能够吸引来自世界各地的人才。他们才华横溢，充满活力。有时候，美国似乎在朝着不可挽回的错误方向前进，但是，之后，美国有能够重塑自我并重新振作起来。另一方面，我不知道美国人是否意识到，如果他们认定与中国为敌，中国可能会是多么可怕的敌人。”“中国不会消失（disappear）。这不是苏联，也不是矫饰的门面（thePotemkinvillagefront）。这是一个充满活力和力量，拥有人才并决心在世界上占据一席之地的国家。”李显龙声称，“虽然这样的看法，毫无疑问，一部分因为中国人所说的娴熟的‘群众路线’的鼓动以及被灌输的世界观，但是，很大一部分也是来源于民众深深的自豪和自信。也许他们接受的‘受害者叙事’比别人会多一些，但是，他们真诚地相信他们被践踏过。他们记住他们的过去，并决心继续前行，告诉别人，‘我们不会消失’。”所以在这种情况下，李显龙对中美说，“暂停，在你们快进之前应当仔细思虑一下。这非常危险。”李显龙：中美必须在多领域共同努力李显龙称，美国气候问题特使约翰克里不久前才访问中国。气候变化是一个非常重大的问题，需要中美双方的全力投入，任何一方都不能独自解决。尽管如此，美国也可以先去尽力说服国会。此外还有其他需要合作的领域。如果我们想解决朝核问题，那就无法绕过中国。数字经济也是如此，把所有的电子产品供应链放在美国是不现实的。在这样一个全球化的产业链中，中国已经如此深度参与，以至于假如把中国排除在外，美国都无法购买一架大疆无人机来监测森林火灾。中国也是如此，把自己与世界孤立开来毫无意义。中国人已经知道，无论他们的国家多么伟大、辽阔和多样化，他们也不是整个世界。还有其他国家、其他技术、其他资源、其他工艺。为了取得进步，中美必须共同努力。李显龙：希望美方转变对华的强硬路线“今天，美国两党在一件事情上达成了共识，那就是与中国的关系，但美国的立场是采取强硬路线。我不确定这是否是正确的共识，但这就是现状，也许它会转变。我们希望美方能够在深思熟虑后作出改变。”李显龙：中国大陆不会单方面对台湾采取行动就台海问题，李显龙认为，“中国大陆不会单方面对台湾采取行动。但他同时警告局势非常容易因为“误判”而变得危险——或许你并不处于危险的位置，但是你可以很容易地进入一个危险的位置。”“对于大陆民众而言，台湾问题是‘一切核心利益的母题’，是最重要的国家课题，而‘台独’是绝对醒目的‘红线’。习主席已经把台湾统一作为他伟大复兴愿景的一部分，但并不只是习主席有这个愿景。这实际上是全中国的知识分子、武装力量、乃至人民的共识。邓小平开了“一国两制”的先河，在香港实施，做出一个行之有效的模式，并希望这个模式能够适用于台湾。”李显龙声称，“但即使在香港最近的事态发生之前，我也不认为这项计划起步了，我认为很少有台湾人支持这样的想法。维持‘九二共识’是两岸维持关系与展开合作的可行方法。其中一个含糊其辞的说法就是，只有一个中国。实际上，每个‘中国’都有自己的解释。”“在此基础上，大陆能够与台湾的几个国民党政府合作。但现在，蔡英文认为九二共识是不可接受的。同时，现在很难找到另一种可替代的形式。所以中国正处在一个相当艰难的时期，台湾民众的态度正在转变。三分之二的台湾人现在认为自己只是台湾人，并希望维持现状。”李显龙声称，“大陆正在仔细观察，想知道他们能做什么。如果他们施压，台湾人就会反对他们。如果他们放松，将产生台湾拥有更多国际空间的担忧。我认为他们会尽可能限制台湾的国际空间，但我不认为他们会单方面无端采取行动。这是高风险的。即使成功了，也虽胜亦败。如何处理这个岛上2000万不愿意成为公民的人们？我认为单方面无缘无故的举动是不可能的，但是但误判或失误很容易把你带到一个你不想去的处境。你们中的一些人可能还记得2001年发生的一起EP-3事故，当时一架(美国)EP-3飞机在中国海岸附近与一架中国战斗机发生碰撞。中国战斗机坠毁，飞行员死亡。EP-3不得不在海南岛紧急着陆。美国花了数周时间准备道歉，以召回飞机和机组人员。我认为如果今天发生了这样的事情，美国将会处于相当困难的境地。我不确定会得到类似的良性结果。”“美国的立场至关重要。过去几年里，美国显而易见地增加了与台湾的互动，包括军机到访、外交邀请和访问等等，这都会被两岸仔细观察。本届政府采取的官方立场是非常谨慎的。劳埃德·奥斯汀最近在新加坡。有人问他这个问题。他的回答非常重要，尽管没有多少人采信。”“奥斯汀说了两件事。第一，‘没有人希望看到台湾现状发生单边变化。’这意味着任何人都不应该单方面做出改变。第二，‘美国承诺根据《台湾关系法》和美国的一个中国政策，支持台湾及其自卫能力。’换句话说，美国正在采取的这种立场已经在几届政府中得到体现。这是一个谨慎的声明。这是对双方的声明，单方面改变现状的行为是不受欢迎的，美国正在做的是仔细阐明行为的边界。”他声称，“如果能够明确并一以贯之地维护这个谨慎立场，台海两岸的和平与稳定就能维持。这对整个区域至关重要，我认为对你们（美国）和中国的整体关系可能也很重要，但不是明天就会产生的冲突。这是一个中期的问题。”李显龙：疫情之下，世界更需要经济全球化李显龙表示，“全球化发展的倒退态势在新冠疫情发生之前已经出现了，但是新冠疫情的出现可能加重了此态势。全球化的经济逻辑依旧奏效。事实上，我们比以往任何时候都更需要经济全球化。因为如果想要获取更高的科技，像是半导体或航空器等，此时我们所谈论的是更大规模的经济。为了实现更大规模的经济发展，我们需要全球市场、全球范围内劳动力和人才的分工。就好像，要实现美国人、中国人和俄罗斯人驾驶各国自产的飞机是一件很难实现的事情。即使美国或者中国，都没有足够强大到可以实现这一点。”“新冠肺炎疫情对投资、实体投资以及在证券交易所上市的金融投资方面影响是非常显著的。我们现在面临一种较为奇怪的现象，即美国不希望中国公司在美上市，中国也是如此，不希望中国公司在美国纽约上市。这意味着双方属于一种两败俱伤的局面，双方均认为这对他们不利，但是确是事实。”“当所有亚洲国家和许多欧洲国家将中国作为他们最大的贸易伙伴，并把美国作为自己非常重要的朋友甚至是盟友的时候，这种分化政策意味着必须将许多社会从中间撕裂，这非常困难。”“特别声明：以上作品内容(包括在内的视频、图片或音频)为凤凰网旗下自媒体平台“大风号”用户上传并发布，本平台仅提供信息存储空间服务。Notice:Thecontentabove(includingthevideos,picturesandaudiosifany)isuploadedandpostedbytheuserofDafengHao,whichisasocialmediaplatformandmerelyprovidesinformationstoragespaceservices.”责任编辑：宋东泽PN242举报打开app阅读更多精彩内容热点新闻IfengAmgr.start()